Market · 27 of 43 outcomes
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| barabulka1190xa6ad…f9fc | No | 2,207 | 99.8¢ | $2.2K | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 1,305,646 | 0.1¢ | $1.96K | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| tradexplorer0x6138…97a0 | Yes | 148,160 | 1.0¢ | $222 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 675 bets |
| yehenala0x2b04…9ef3 | No | 200 | 99.4¢ | $200 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 120,861 | 0.5¢ | $181 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 136 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.