Market · 26 of 43 outcomes
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.8M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| barabulka1190xa6ad…f9fc | No | 2,207 | 99.8¢ | $2.2K | — |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 1,305,576 | 0.1¢ | $1.96K | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| tradexplorer0x6138…97a0 | Yes | 148,160 | 1.0¢ | $222 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 675 bets |
| yehenala0x2b04…9ef3 | No | 200 | 99.4¢ | $200 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 120,861 | 0.5¢ | $181 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 117,610 | 0.6¢ | $176 | New15 settled bets |
| EricaXBT0x7383…bd0b | Yes | 83,973 | 0.9¢ | $126 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 219 bets |
| cfgyfhg0xf315…4001 | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | $114 | — |
| c1960x4a5e…b3ef | No | 111 | 99.4¢ | $110 | — |
| frances730xd5dd…5eee | No | 108 | 99.9¢ | $108 | — |
| victoria320xc2f7…403a | No | 88 | 99.9¢ | $88 | — |
| gonzalezjanet0x6214…de56 | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | — |
| ayersamanda0x64eb…a3e5 | No | 79 | 99.9¢ | $79 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 51,000 | 0.6¢ | $77 | Positive+$12.28 per $100 · 3,944 bets |
| bcervantes0x5fec…fbba | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| woodchelsea0x4997…4f11 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| jdjduskkkk230x9b57…cb99 | No | 65 | 99.5¢ | $65 | — |
| katrina990x38d3…e8b5 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| tomjordan0xd47a…c4bb | No | 58 | 99.9¢ | $58 | — |
| christophergarrison0xaf22…89d4 | No | 55 | 99.9¢ | $55 | — |
| hongitampaj0x3000…c051 | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| Blaseyou0x6dd4…992a | No | 51 | 99.6¢ | $51 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 32,387 | 0.6¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| joshuajohnson0xb39c…05e7 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | — |
| faj19160x29f4…9371 | No | 39 | 99.6¢ | $39 | — |
| muzilji0x8895…be2e | No | 38 | 99.4¢ | $38 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 1H4T3N1GG3R5880x7c8a…52c8 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| ersheng0xdc95…cfe1 | No | 30 | 99.6¢ | $30 | — |
| Louisesd0x090f…a24b | No | 29 | 99.0¢ | $29 | — |
| gyhuhh0x08c2…d50e | No | 28 | 99.6¢ | $28 | — |
| df4b0x4062…25c0 | Yes | 17,684 | 0.7¢ | $27 | — |
| CVX3R40x3105…1790 | Yes | 17,000 | 0.5¢ | $25 | — |
| a5920x1b06…14a7 | No | 25 | 99.8¢ | $25 | — |
| 4b470xe9c2…6556 | Yes | 16,436 | 0.7¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x305d…a0df | Yes | 12,999 | 0.5¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x8a70…eea6 | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 11,732 | 0.3¢ | $18 | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| 0x46a9…a9f8 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xa5cf…dcab | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| dimvpizzz0xfb4c…c2d5 | No | 15 | 99.6¢ | $15 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 9,835 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| 0x17cb…65f9 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x3a0a…8853 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| dfghjuy0xea08…65d7 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xb709…600e | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x66e0…e1a3 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| KRAKENlite0x2566…5953 | Yes | 9,102 | 0.6¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x96c2…d2e9 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| mintjolt820xd48e…a0a2 | Yes | 8,904 | 0.6¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| oirtr0x1d9e…f739 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb440…2133 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| sCoverdale0x5851…c6d8 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xd50c…bac9 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| fvdgerw0x47f4…cb12 | No | 13 | 99.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x45af…7b60 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7e18…7b46 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xd7bb…79ce | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| SelenaLanc0x12de…0470 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| Louisesa0x23db…584d | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| KentConan0xd97c…e8a4 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x638d…c2d4 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 8,271 | 0.7¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 54GERT0x40cb…6ac7 | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.6¢ | $11 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,750 bets |
| wakage0x9997…cb85 | Yes | 4,714 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xef37…76bf | Yes | 4,500 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| TYH5ERER0x9c0e…f5d6 | Yes | 4,500 | 0.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xfef7…d57b | Yes | 4,500 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xc3a4…68ef | Yes | 4,458 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 6GH23D0x4578…4d67 | Yes | 4,400 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x423e…4b49 | Yes | 4,323 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x7d95…eaa8 | Yes | 4,300 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x11d8…44e0 | Yes | 4,222 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xa7e9…f786 | Yes | 4,205 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x224a…d96c | Yes | 4,200 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| immotive0x4848…1585 | Yes | 4,167 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 4,036 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x3d99…cee5 | Yes | 4,005 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4f56…efe2 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf3f0…4160 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 3,863 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,419 bets |
| 0x06ec…27a6 | Yes | 3,800 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x1d1a…1366 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xe963…53a8 | Yes | 3,700 | 0.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x0e49…0aee | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5f0d…1c45 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xdc20…3ee5 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xddfb…2789 | Yes | 3,600 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8757…7b75 | Yes | 3,560 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf241…d88b | Yes | 3,500 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4015…5341 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xcca5…28cf | Yes | 3,500 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 30 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,558 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 136 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.