Market · 14 of 43 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 723,723 | 0.8¢ | $2.53K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.0¢ | $1.05K | — |
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 261,968 | 0.9¢ | $917 | New68 settled bets |
| f1238860x3cd7…d127 | Yes | 186,433 | 0.6¢ | $653 | — |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 163,354 | 0.3¢ | $572 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 70 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.