Market · 14 of 43 outcomes
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 723,723 | 0.8¢ | $2.53K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| laganza0xd63c…d2f6 | Yes | 300,000 | 1.0¢ | $1.05K | — |
| PropheticFire0xf566…1386 | Yes | 261,968 | 0.9¢ | $917 | New68 settled bets |
| f1238860x3cd7…d127 | Yes | 186,433 | 0.6¢ | $653 | New2 settled bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 163,354 | 0.3¢ | $572 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 96,774 | 0.4¢ | $339 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 79,373 | 0.5¢ | $278 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| Sarahsa0xba3f…f559 | No | 189 | 50.0¢ | $189 | — |
| rustin1230x8c21…adaf | Yes | 49,999 | 0.7¢ | $175 | — |
| 0x2ce8…4527 | Yes | 44,632 | 1.2¢ | $156 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 782 bets |
| huntstephanie0x95e6…f669 | No | 122 | 99.7¢ | $122 | — |
| gate2to2hel0xb085…eac0 | No | 101 | 99.2¢ | $100 | — |
| vaughnmatthew0x0e68…d0f9 | No | 99 | 99.7¢ | $99 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $88 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| gitano990xb4cd…6e27 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.4¢ | $88 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 22,742 | 0.8¢ | $80 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,371 bets |
| acostarachel0x1160…b32a | No | 78 | 99.7¢ | $78 | — |
| fibarra0xa62e…c27f | No | 76 | 99.7¢ | $76 | — |
| pasut0xfcd9…aebd | No | 71 | 99.0¢ | $70 | — |
| imhim0x6c87…fce0 | Yes | 19,984 | 0.8¢ | $70 | — |
| joelmeadows0xdc80…9f10 | No | 68 | 99.7¢ | $68 | — |
| diavolo40xd8a9…a330 | No | 65 | 99.6¢ | $65 | — |
| knappsteven0xb675…1905 | No | 64 | 99.7¢ | $64 | — |
| gfdfttfd0x281d…0174 | No | 64 | 99.7¢ | $64 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 17,316 | 0.8¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| reginaldsmith0x2ae2…5812 | No | 60 | 99.7¢ | $60 | — |
| cdsregt0xa951…2988 | No | 57 | 99.7¢ | $57 | — |
| wellsaustin0x30db…7b7a | No | 57 | 99.7¢ | $57 | — |
| kathryn620x7418…af92 | No | 56 | 99.7¢ | $56 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 15,118 | 0.9¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| vtrehye0xa178…b8ae | No | 52 | 99.7¢ | $52 | — |
| fregtwg0x82f2…f0dd | No | 51 | 99.7¢ | $51 | — |
| 0x325e…9d89 | No | 50 | 99.1¢ | $50 | — |
| OnGodNoCap0x1cca…a1c3 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $44 | New27 settled bets |
| Deadheadbucky0x68d9…00ed | Yes | 12,500 | 0.5¢ | $44 | — |
| gtowagger0x8639…fb86 | Yes | 11,111 | 0.9¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 1,505 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 10,300 | 0.7¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 736 bets |
| chainwerks0x78e4…4fb9 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.1¢ | $35 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 9,929 | 0.3¢ | $35 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,938 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 8,949 | 0.7¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| cbdhyj0x0a82…ef58 | No | 31 | 99.7¢ | $31 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $31 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0x3618…db28 | Yes | 8,328 | 1.2¢ | $29 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 7,777 | 0.8¢ | $27 | — |
| ewsterss0x37f3…12e2 | No | 27 | 99.0¢ | $26 | — |
| dews0xee1d…42c6 | No | 22 | 98.7¢ | $22 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 6,000 | 0.4¢ | $21 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| hdfgergg0xd64b…b563 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.9¢ | $19 | New65 settled bets |
| gugenot3000x3854…0bfa | No | 18 | 99.3¢ | $18 | — |
| DataDog0x56d7…3d6b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $18 | Losing−$7.27 per $100 · 491 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,750 bets |
| 0x6e2e…1b55 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $18 | New53 settled bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,441 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| horndike0x49fc…3d87 | No | 16 | 99.5¢ | $16 | — |
| YTRTFF0xea4a…1c99 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| lemono0x0b01…28e7 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x805c…f138 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 4,100 | 0.6¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| DannyChantom0x4baf…b22b | Yes | 4,092 | 1.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xff80…36bc | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 4,056 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $14 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| greylabel0xb7a9…715d | Yes | 4,000 | 0.6¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0313…0fce | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x5ecb…e149 | No | 14 | 99.2¢ | $14 | — |
| mooreel890x536f…ca28 | Yes | 3,806 | 0.9¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x2c69…0d7c | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xbc9a…1223 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x30be…4cab | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x58d4…577b | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| dayy120x818b…0e40 | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xab4a…e67d | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb2eb…7fee | No | 13 | 99.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xbbab…b7de | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xddd5…df51 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x81b6…b574 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| SidBray0x2515…4518 | No | 12 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x5776…10cf | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| AngeloSherwood0xfa7c…0def | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9618…b9da | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 3,044 | 0.3¢ | $11 | New6 settled bets |
| 0x9c36…0312 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x6aed…34ef | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x0dfc…5633 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| StaceyPoe0x3972…ee27 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| DoLess0x507d…728d | Yes | 2,940 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$19.11 per $100 · 147 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,541 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| bigstackss0x8d11…5c25 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 2,335 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| Ethan5610x6294…ee4c | Yes | 2,222 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 2,077 | 0.5¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.01 per $100 · 170 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 820 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 70 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.