Market · 37 of 43 outcomes
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 890 | 97.8¢ | $890 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 1,124,477 | 0.1¢ | $562 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 425,732 | 0.6¢ | $213 | New15 settled bets |
| ClaraFalls0xf6af…60fa | No | 181 | 99.2¢ | $181 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 1,048 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 297,761 | 0.2¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 51 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.