Market · 37 of 43 outcomes
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 890 | 97.8¢ | $890 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 1,124,477 | 0.1¢ | $562 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 425,732 | 0.6¢ | $213 | New15 settled bets |
| ClaraFalls0xf6af…60fa | No | 181 | 99.2¢ | $181 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 1,048 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 297,761 | 0.2¢ | $149 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| romeroanthony0x500d…ecad | No | 93 | 99.3¢ | $93 | — |
| louiscombs0x38e5…5c4e | No | 79 | 99.9¢ | $79 | — |
| rachelshaw0xb58d…f46b | No | 74 | 99.9¢ | $74 | — |
| mccallangelica0x936d…49ee | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| Yamaleo0x99b7…eb1f | No | 61 | 99.5¢ | $61 | — |
| umamisalty0x8a16…0880 | No | 55 | 99.4¢ | $55 | — |
| erikahess0x53ad…3cac | No | 47 | 99.9¢ | $47 | — |
| tiffanykrueger0xfa8e…288e | No | 43 | 99.9¢ | $43 | — |
| clarser0xcb3d…30bd | No | 36 | 99.5¢ | $36 | — |
| 35070x7287…0094 | No | 31 | 99.9¢ | $31 | — |
| dongchedi0x22b1…725b | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 28 | 98.1¢ | $28 | — |
| rdinans0xcbe0…f527 | No | 28 | 99.0¢ | $28 | — |
| wejvn0x3619…6cc3 | No | 23 | 99.6¢ | $23 | — |
| bafcvrs0xfb17…78e0 | No | 22 | 99.3¢ | $22 | — |
| de6d0x0ca2…3741 | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| ethancome0070x4382…40ec | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| makePace670xc413…2ca4 | Yes | 40,245 | 0.8¢ | $20 | — |
| 062610xf4e8…8157 | No | 19 | 99.3¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x60a3…86bc | No | 19 | 99.3¢ | $19 | — |
| grrrrttt0xf1b9…fef0 | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| dhani7x0x352c…8ff5 | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 29,997 | 0.6¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0x8893…c67e | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| fg7780x46c2…68fe | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xf2cb…f2c4 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xa627…7e29 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xe5bb…7619 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| ConCaMap880xda4a…2184 | Yes | 25,132 | 0.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $13 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| 0xd707…69f4 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 1314.eth0xd21e…fe99 | No | 12 | 99.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xe2c5…6e73 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xa4d4…1c6e | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xe6a4…2eec | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb3eb…8a81 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xb4a2…35bc | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcf0b…8b05 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 22,907 | 0.5¢ | $11 | Positive+$12.12 per $100 · 3,923 bets |
| boy0x6a5c…4876 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| sugelan0xa573…a846 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| batdfdth0xbe3f…bf5c | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| FEIYANG0x2b30…c3bb | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| biuio0xea05…0f06 | No | 11 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| oxsun0xa30c…49e8 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x3bbc…20f2 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xde7a…8aca | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| ZKS00x0460…5644 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| ningning-9140x46f3…4262 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| binance60x5c98…2f9c | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7e4e…50ed | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | — |
| bnyy50x7c4b…5c94 | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x2574…144b | Yes | 20,110 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 16,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 14,286 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 12,026 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| LeTmean0xa324…afc9 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | Yes | 11,631 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| JumperChip0x193a…35c0 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 8,888 | 0.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 8,000 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x317e…b811 | Yes | 7,143 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Chanthol0x15a9…ec4f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.2¢ | $3 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 5,010 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| THEINSIDERTRADER0xf690…a40d | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $3 | — |
| PierreClavet0x3fbf…f580 | Yes | 3,917 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,289 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| sirigy230x2cd0…fb3d | Yes | 2,857 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,811 | 0.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,696 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| 197po0xaa84…4b14 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb241…7dbb | Yes | 2,500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 2,490 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcab0…8705 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfc7f…23f6 | Yes | 1,600 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0x0523…7b85 | Yes | 1,429 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| 0xc3d1…803e | Yes | 1,277 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,222 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.11 per $100 · 7,837 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| 49ddgfd0x9070…e32c | Yes | 1,020 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 51 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.