Market · 39 of 43 outcomes
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,507,619 | 0.7¢ | $754 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x5816…8220 | No | 528 | 99.5¢ | $528 | — |
| Kevinnnn0xdf22…3bae | No | 197 | 50.0¢ | $197 | — |
| Leah11110x0831…2561 | No | 182 | 50.0¢ | $182 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Nateki0x571f…ba02 | No | 148 | 99.3¢ | $148 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 793 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.