Market · 39 of 43 outcomes
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,507,619 | 0.7¢ | $754 | New15 settled bets |
| 0x5816…8220 | No | 528 | 99.5¢ | $528 | — |
| Kevinnnn0xdf22…3bae | No | 197 | 50.0¢ | $197 | — |
| Leah11110x0831…2561 | No | 182 | 50.0¢ | $182 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Nateki0x571f…ba02 | No | 148 | 99.3¢ | $148 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 206,871 | 0.1¢ | $103 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| samanthaford0xed4f…baf2 | No | 61 | 99.9¢ | $61 | — |
| kellyevans0x9e0d…f036 | No | 54 | 99.9¢ | $54 | — |
| hobbsandrea0xddaf…f64c | No | 52 | 99.9¢ | $52 | — |
| orbitalgambling0xd515…86bf | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $50 | — |
| gggLFG0xce87…f156 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 74,772 | 0.4¢ | $37 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| 0x9b00…4834 | Yes | 71,000 | 0.1¢ | $36 | — |
| benzege0x2406…c4e0 | No | 33 | 99.4¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x507b…57e1 | Yes | 63,402 | 0.7¢ | $32 | — |
| 4d460xa15d…fb40 | No | 30 | 99.8¢ | $30 | — |
| t0n30xbe69…0a27 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| GuuLG0xdf91…f13d | No | 29 | 98.8¢ | $29 | — |
| Browningsss0xf0f4…2449 | No | 26 | 99.5¢ | $26 | — |
| gogo7zhui0xb842…fca3 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | — |
| whatname0x0b7e…4018 | No | 23 | 99.4¢ | $23 | — |
| DrewBentham0x68c1…8f74 | No | 23 | 99.5¢ | $23 | — |
| cMillan0xa41a…92ca | No | 21 | 99.5¢ | $21 | — |
| 45eb0x22f6…ea56 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 1arm0x4a60…fe54 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 865f110x1173…8fc9 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| hdfbdte0xe3c1…77ca | No | 19 | 99.8¢ | $19 | — |
| mmermans0x34c9…d66a | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| Bessemers0x0c43…5873 | No | 19 | 99.5¢ | $19 | — |
| RebeccaLugli0x5659…67a1 | No | 18 | 98.8¢ | $18 | New24 settled bets |
| a09930x65c8…d07e | No | 17 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| Volku0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | 33,333 | 0.7¢ | $17 | Losing−$81.54 per $100 · 148 bets |
| ytytyeee0xc48d…0569 | No | 16 | 99.4¢ | $16 | — |
| fghhjkjhgfd0x2ff8…e866 | No | 16 | 99.5¢ | $16 | — |
| nnjdh0xbb19…4745 | No | 16 | 99.5¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x198a…be4b | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 84jj0xb468…71b1 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| bf41890x44c2…8aec | No | 14 | 99.5¢ | $14 | — |
| iyufd0x7d99…259c | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x9a85…62f9 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xd716…ea26 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x9f78…12dc | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xf683…2389 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x619f…4fa2 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| tyuuytyu0x0077…78b1 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,000 | 0.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| unther0x0b90…39c4 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x59c2…58a4 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x54c3…2286 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x43d7…b5f4 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xce11…8d49 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x9a45…2fc0 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| Ali1231230x7b17…5246 | Yes | 24,485 | 1.2¢ | $12 | New46 settled bets |
| juty0xf947…8cf8 | No | 12 | 99.1¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x8bc5…0d25 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xfb16…dfe0 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| Hooverss0x3d30…4208 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| btc3130x8ce7…22b0 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.3¢ | $10 | New22 settled bets |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 16,179 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 14,720 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 883b0x77e1…bf17 | Yes | 13,267 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| Zypf70x7243…83f0 | Yes | 12,098 | 0.1¢ | $6 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 2,720 bets |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.2¢ | $6 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 11,110 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,505 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| LeTmean0xa324…afc9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| mon20260xce14…e38f | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xa7b8…ad7c | Yes | 9,510 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| baseddon0x9810…e500 | Yes | 7,784 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 7,143 | 0.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 5,547 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 5,118 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Winwin1490xc5d5…337c | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 3,180 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 9c800x927e…0fd6 | Yes | 3,031 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 2,857 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$97.69 per $100 · 135 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,593 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,396 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,115 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0xa0c8…9e6f | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcab0…8705 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 1,892 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,308 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| skyy4everzzdd0x4e9f…3340 | Yes | 1,429 | 0.7¢ | $1 | New24 settled bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 1.4¢ | $1 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| bigstackss0x8d11…5c25 | Yes | 1,061 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 1,005 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x54d9…266e | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| imagineall0x5ba8…2bdf | Yes | 1,000 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 793 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.