Market · 30 of 43 outcomes
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,191,818 | 0.7¢ | $1.79K | New15 settled bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 440,683 | 0.2¢ | $661 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 338,288 | 0.5¢ | $507 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| bhffb0x4be9…1e17 | No | 497 | 99.3¢ | $496 | New27 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 133,246 | 0.3¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 115,993 | 0.6¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 164K shares each side · Show
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