Market · 30 of 43 outcomes
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,191,818 | 0.7¢ | $1.79K | New15 settled bets |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 440,683 | 0.2¢ | $661 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 338,288 | 0.5¢ | $507 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| bhffb0x4be9…1e17 | No | 497 | 99.3¢ | $496 | New27 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 133,246 | 0.3¢ | $200 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 115,993 | 0.6¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 6667778880xc160…652d | No | 135 | 99.9¢ | $135 | — |
| 0x55d4…b202 | No | 122 | 99.7¢ | $122 | New18 settled bets |
| jeffery290x2b31…33c0 | No | 98 | 99.9¢ | $98 | New54 settled bets |
| dianelee0xfb30…3091 | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| wdowns0x8cc7…c389 | No | 89 | 99.7¢ | $89 | — |
| changchristopher0x47fd…b6dd | No | 88 | 99.7¢ | $88 | New82 settled bets |
| tiffanygordon0x2548…89d6 | No | 86 | 99.9¢ | $86 | New58 settled bets |
| kyle270x5449…af5c | No | 81 | 99.9¢ | $81 | New58 settled bets |
| zmclean0x7a57…4807 | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | New51 settled bets |
| wdawson0x044c…6017 | No | 78 | 99.9¢ | $78 | New49 settled bets |
| howellvirginia0x41d0…3a74 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | New92 settled bets |
| laobill0x9906…2bf8 | No | 70 | 99.3¢ | $70 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 46,477 | 0.7¢ | $70 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| 0x5f45…cabc | Yes | 37,500 | 0.8¢ | $56 | New32 settled bets |
| fdstrsgt0x7a65…d0c0 | No | 44 | 99.9¢ | $44 | New10 settled bets |
| 3c900x658e…c413 | Yes | 29,370 | 0.9¢ | $44 | New45 settled bets |
| 0xa406…ecb9 | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 20,176 | 0.2¢ | $30 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 20,000 | 0.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| baseballl0x0012…cdb5 | No | 28 | 99.3¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 296 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| 63E900x19f4…1506 | No | 19 | 99.1¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 104 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 12,692 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $19 | New65 settled bets |
| LeTmean0xa324…afc9 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Monenymaker0xf89a…ad34 | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xb0df…7bcd | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x7bb1…458d | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | New29 settled bets |
| dsdfs450x4d80…50af | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $14 | New31 settled bets |
| 0x959d…0c38 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x938e…a726 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x0ab8…2cf4 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x5734…5453 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xecc3…61ba | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x052c…598e | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | New24 settled bets |
| spyr00x6cff…45ac | Yes | 7,500 | 0.2¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 341 bets |
| 0x41b3…c27a | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | New25 settled bets |
| 0xc161…56b8 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xeb5a…8b06 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xe4bb…20d4 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x052e…23a3 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x59ed…bd86 | No | 10 | 99.3¢ | $10 | New16 settled bets |
| Glonas-8010x39d0…8fe3 | No | 10 | 99.2¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 102 bets |
| oolp0xc32f…080f | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| youjz0xd018…bc1a | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xf2a5…cb2c | No | 9 | 99.3¢ | $9 | — |
| kiann990xba0d…d084 | Yes | 5,721 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 5,607 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 5,273 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| marksoc0x89fc…b5c2 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$11.13 per $100 · 360 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| jkh56770x86d6…6045 | No | 7 | 99.1¢ | $7 | — |
| AusBettor0x9c1e…0cd2 | Yes | 4,375 | 0.8¢ | $7 | — |
| BroukPytlik0x2936…7be9 | Yes | 4,350 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.10 per $100 · 389 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 4,137 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| kki90xac5c…e2dc | No | 6 | 99.4¢ | $6 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 4,042 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| Alipahlavan130x6a56…13bb | No | 6 | 99.4¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.27 per $100 · 144 bets |
| Ann52530xcd08…0a3f | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | $6 | — |
| nds3360x7ab3…3d36 | No | 6 | 99.2¢ | $6 | New70 settled bets |
| 123RDT60x7d0d…9aca | Yes | 3,868 | 0.9¢ | $6 | New11 settled bets |
| Rylee4130xb10e…b8e0 | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | $6 | — |
| bvmnvfnxc800xa92d…fde8 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| keepingcalm0x02d1…9599 | Yes | 3,571 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$16.56 per $100 · 360 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,430 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| vjghnbmj0x3d59…c3bd | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | New92 settled bets |
| ShimulH958505550xcbb2…d1e8 | No | 5 | 99.3¢ | $5 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 3,200 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 2,950 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,306 bets |
| aegis7770x859d…fccb | Yes | 2,763 | 0.5¢ | $4 | — |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,650 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 0x3cd8…02ef | Yes | 2,521 | 0.9¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 432ewfw0x7543…3d71 | Yes | 2,500 | 50.0¢ | $4 | New16 settled bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| 0x92a6…e72e | Yes | 2,149 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 652510xfa94…822b | Yes | 2,117 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7600…f73d | Yes | 2,101 | 0.9¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x2a27…9e78 | Yes | 2,093 | 0.9¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,091 | 0.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0x5535…2c43 | Yes | 2,082 | 0.9¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x5d54…c102 | Yes | 2,069 | 0.9¢ | $3 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xeb60…8c83 | Yes | 2,067 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 2,028 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
| Cookedtan0xb48b…648e | Yes | 1,858 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 5,309 bets |
| 0x80ca…ad04 | Yes | 1,722 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 164K shares each side · Show
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