Market · 25 of 43 outcomes
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.8¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,656,836 | 0.7¢ | $2.49K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 187,580 | 0.2¢ | $281 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Michelle055550x9b55…7285 | No | 211 | 99.6¢ | $211 | — |
| Rebecca26020x6bb7…dc55 | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $201 | — |
| Williamyyy0xa2ef…c04e | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $201 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 120 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.