Market · 25 of 43 outcomes
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,656,836 | 0.7¢ | $2.49K | New15 settled bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $456 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 187,584 | 0.2¢ | $281 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Michelle055550x9b55…7285 | No | 211 | 99.6¢ | $211 | — |
| Rebecca26020x6bb7…dc55 | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $201 | — |
| Williamyyy0xa2ef…c04e | No | 201 | 99.6¢ | $201 | — |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 120,871 | 0.4¢ | $181 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| iksde880xc540…ede8 | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| bobbymcdowell0x7c4f…5a41 | No | 94 | 99.9¢ | $94 | — |
| higginsmarco0xea11…ca80 | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| alexis710x8674…f92b | No | 87 | 99.9¢ | $87 | — |
| xphelps0x1a96…c518 | No | 85 | 99.9¢ | $85 | — |
| gbriggs0x4a59…6ec5 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| catyy220x5abb…9759 | No | 80 | 99.4¢ | $80 | — |
| leahewing0x8cc6…dbb7 | No | 80 | 99.9¢ | $80 | — |
| lanehunter0x9721…05ed | No | 78 | 99.9¢ | $78 | — |
| johnstonmadison0x3536…b9a9 | No | 77 | 99.9¢ | $77 | — |
| watsonchristopher0xcf90…4df7 | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| jessicawilkins0xec4c…0541 | No | 73 | 99.9¢ | $73 | — |
| carrillokevin0xcc2d…18b1 | No | 71 | 99.6¢ | $71 | — |
| kennedyvincent0xeb23…239b | No | 69 | 99.9¢ | $69 | — |
| fowlerrandy0x8244…d688 | No | 66 | 99.9¢ | $66 | — |
| junkiton0x25a8…5ec9 | No | 65 | 99.4¢ | $65 | — |
| nolannichole0xaea0…fe2a | No | 65 | 99.9¢ | $65 | — |
| rybssoo21111110xc565…307f | No | 63 | 99.4¢ | $63 | — |
| hfnydb0xe28d…3760 | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | — |
| jjdamonis2355510xc80b…0fb9 | No | 55 | 99.4¢ | $55 | — |
| 266c0x5ec3…2815 | Yes | 33,625 | 0.4¢ | $50 | — |
| felicia580xefeb…a995 | No | 46 | 99.9¢ | $46 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 41 | 99.5¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,000 | 0.6¢ | $39 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| OnGodNoCap0x1cca…a1c3 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.8¢ | $38 | New27 settled bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 24,905 | 0.6¢ | $37 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| 38Ed4d11F0xa5c6…bb6b | No | 34 | 99.3¢ | $34 | — |
| acaulay0x0680…abfb | No | 34 | 99.0¢ | $34 | — |
| Geromi0x8e8d…5a27 | No | 28 | 98.2¢ | $28 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 18,432 | 0.8¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| ERTGRET340xa4e9…b1f8 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| wning0x8f75…364e | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| SimonLaurie0xffd7…ce36 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| hterr880x872b…e8bf | No | 17 | 99.5¢ | $17 | — |
| 50540x05f9…a401 | No | 17 | 99.3¢ | $17 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 10,585 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| ttimore0x5eca…f4cd | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| dfdss0xaaab…c5be | No | 15 | 99.5¢ | $15 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0x56d0…4be1 | No | 15 | 98.9¢ | $15 | — |
| uisesss0x19ae…a2f8 | No | 15 | 99.0¢ | $15 | — |
| RoseElizabe0xb58b…bb8e | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| bagirasnson0x23f4…b218 | No | 14 | 99.4¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0ed2…3fba | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0642…a0eb | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xeb3b…d9c3 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x081a…3363 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xe6a2…c563 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x94e9…73c9 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,973 | 1.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 7,777 | 0.7¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xe3de…909b | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| ApolloGod0xf4d5…79f9 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| yanpai0x8b38…efb9 | No | 11 | 99.0¢ | $11 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 5,328 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 2,590 | 0.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 2,530 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 6,881 bets |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 2,455 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | Yes | 2,221 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xfc7f…23f6 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | Yes | 1,827 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 1,505 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| rocky420250x8929…733e | Yes | 1,250 | 1.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| johngalt9760xe531…39d8 | Yes | 1,200 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| bigstackss0x8d11…5c25 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,042 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | Yes | 856 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 850 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| dumber0x3e7c…596c | Yes | 846 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.80 per $100 · 629 bets |
| 0xe714…1b3d | Yes | 791 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 761 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| 1centYes0x888e…b1a6 | Yes | 750 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 745 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| immotive0x4848…1585 | Yes | 714 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 700 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 698 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,285 bets |
| PierreClavet0x3fbf…f580 | Yes | 661 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| R21llsa0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | 629 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4202…36a4 | Yes | 556 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| xiangjian0xc563…ce83 | Yes | 500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 10 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 120 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.