Market · 1 of 14 outcomes
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
2 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| seasonrsic0xb0fe…6e39 | Yes | 270 | 58.7¢ | $186 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 537 | 36.3¢ | $166 | Losing−$2.60 per $100 · 123,566 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 164 | 60.0¢ | $113 | — |
| devvopnb0x7585…7be2 | Yes | 99 | 53.1¢ | $68 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 138 | 42.0¢ | $43 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 40 | 65.5¢ | $28 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play