Market · 7 of 14 outcomes
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 651 | 89.4¢ | $622 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 194 | 93.3¢ | $185 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No | 183 | 94.2¢ | $175 | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| brad201660xc9c9…07eb | No | 100 | 88.4¢ | $96 | — |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 80 | 87.0¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 670 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 40 | 89.5¢ | $38 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.