Market · 13 of 14 outcomes
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No | 501 | 94.2¢ | $489 | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 439 | 92.3¢ | $428 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| 0x1411…2410 | No | 100 | 92.3¢ | $98 | Proven+$3.28 per $100 · 354 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 87.3¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 31 | 91.0¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 670 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 20 | 91.6¢ | $20 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.