Market · 2 of 14 outcomes
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No | 2,692 | 82.8¢ | $2.41K | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 1,728 | 69.0¢ | $1.55K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No | 1,641 | 66.6¢ | $1.47K | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No | 1,291 | 83.6¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | No | 1,136 | 73.8¢ | $1.02K | — |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 849 | 71.1¢ | $760 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.