Market · 11 of 14 outcomes
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 1,469 | 93.3¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| southfly0x773c…cc98 | No | 40 | 93.3¢ | $39 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 899 | 3.1¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 14 | 97.3¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2 more outcomes in this event.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play