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Topic · Tech
47 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 47
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
| Event | Leading outcome | Chance | This week | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | OpenAI | 12.0¢ | up 2.5 points this week | $38.0K |
| Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:36 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 37.5¢ |
| down 2 points this week |
| $557 |
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on Moonshot | $3.6K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No on OpenAI | $3.3K | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No on OpenAI | $2.4K | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No on OpenAI | $1.4K | Proven+$13.02 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No on Amazon | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | No on Moonshot | $1.3K | – |
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No on DeepSeek | $1.2K | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No on OpenAI | $1.1K | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | No on OpenAI | $999 | – |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No on Meta | $915 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.