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Topic · Tech
47 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 47
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Proven traders lean No on OpenAI · 3 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on Moonshot | $3.6K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 791 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:49 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on OpenAI |
| $3.3K |
| Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No on OpenAI | $2.4K | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | No on OpenAI | $1.5K | Proven+$13.23 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No on Amazon | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | No on Moonshot | $1.3K | – |
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No on DeepSeek | $1.2K | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,684 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No on OpenAI | $1.1K | Positive+$13.76 per $100 · 241 bets |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | No on OpenAI | $1.0K | – |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No on Meta | $915 | Break-even+$0.15 per $100 · 569 bets |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | No on xAI | $823 | – |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No on OpenAI | $756 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No on Mistral | $753 | – |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No on Meta | $663 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No on Meta | $631 | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No on Meta | $618 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,164 bets |
| sssshishiga0xc5d4…08fc | No on OpenAI | $411 | – |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No on Moonshot | $383 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 671 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No on Moonshot | $371 | – |
| Lapinot0xa834…71ae | No on xAI | $343 | – |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No on OpenAI | $324 | – |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No on OpenAI | $317 | – |
| code.up0x2e2f…6884 | No on xAI | $295 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 230 bets |
| Cryonic0xf0f6…3836 | No on xAI | $274 | – |
| onthewave0xc302…f388 | No on Moonshot | $271 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.