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Topic · Tech
47 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
2 · 47
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
3 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 12.0¢ | up 3 points this week | Jan 1 | $9.2K |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:28 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| DeepSeek |
| Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? |
| 5.5¢ |
| – |
| Jan 1 |
| $5.6K |
| Meta | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 8.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $4.6K |
| Moonshot | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 2.8¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $3.5K |
| Mistral | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 2.5¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $3.0K |
| xAI | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 7.0¢ | down 2.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $2.5K |
| Amazon | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 2.5¢ | down 0.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $1.9K |
| Z.ai | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 2.5¢ | down 5.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $1.9K |
| Meituan | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 2.5¢ | down 0.7 points this week | Jan 1 | $1.4K |
| Alibaba | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 4.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Jan 1 | $1.3K |
| Microsoft | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 4.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $1.3K |
| ByteDance | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 0.6¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $1.1K |
| Baidu | Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | 5.0¢ | down 1.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $821 |
| Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 35.5¢ | down 3.5 points this week | Jan 1 | $204 |
| Meta | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 12.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $32 |
| Thinky | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 1.6¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $20 |
| OpenAI | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 4.2¢ | up 0.7 points this week | Jan 1 | $19 |
| Z.ai | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 2.6¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $19 |
| Xiaomi | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 2.6¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $19 |
| MiniMax | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 7.5¢ | up 4.3 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Tencent | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 5.5¢ | up 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Moonshot | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 1.7¢ | down 0.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| ByteDance | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 0.5¢ | no change this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Mistral | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 0.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Amazon | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 0.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Alibaba | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 7.9¢ | up 4.4 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Baidu | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 1.7¢ | no change this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| DeepSeek | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 3.4¢ | up 0.2 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Meituan | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 6.9¢ | up 3.1 points this week | Jan 1 | $18 |
| Nvidia | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 0.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $18 |
| SpaceXAI | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 3.7¢ | up 0.3 points this week | Jan 1 | $17 |
| StepFun | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 5.0¢ | up 0.4 points this week | Jan 1 | $16 |
| Microsoft | Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | 3.6¢ | down 15 points this week | Jan 1 | $14 |