Market · 2 of 21 outcomes
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 40 | 67.0¢ | $26 | — |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 58 | 40.3¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 26 | 65.0¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 45 | 36.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | No | 20 | 69.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 20 | 64.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 155.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.