Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 155.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 86 | 61.2¢ | $51 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,862+ bets · updating |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 121 | 39.3¢ | $48 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 73 | 55.0¢ | $44 | — |
| braindance0x7ff3…e007 | Yes | 40 | 38.9¢ | $16 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,122 bets |
| yudi45450xdb47…5d20 | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 110 events · $6.11M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.