Market · 1 of 21 outcomes
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 86 | 61.2¢ | $52 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,218+ bets · updating |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 121 | 39.3¢ | $47 | Proven+$8.70 per $100 · 4,101 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 73 | 55.0¢ | $44 | — |
| braindance0x7ff3…e007 | Yes | 40 | 38.9¢ | $16 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,629 bets |
| yudi45450xdb47…5d20 | No | 20 | 66.0¢ | $12 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 26 | 43.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 41.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 20 | 36.0¢ | $8 | — |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 20 | 26.8¢ | $8 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 15 | 46.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| doctorno990x4e2d…4936 | Yes | 12 | 46.0¢ | $5 | — |
| traxup0x2c69…a9a2 | No | 1 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7aa4…c822 | Yes | 1 | 32.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 111 events · $6.14M in play
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.