Market · 9 of 14 outcomes
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 2,800 | 92.4¢ | $2.72K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | No | 1,342 | 86.1¢ | $1.3K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| onthewave0xc302…f388 |
| No |
| 279 |
| 90.1¢ |
| $271 |
| Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 201 bets |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 200 | 88.2¢ | $194 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 670 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 155 | 90.8¢ | $151 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $97 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.