Market · 3 of 14 outcomes
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 1,000 | 90.4¢ | $915 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| ourdemocracy20xbdcb…e811 | No | 1,000 | 91.1¢ | $915 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 725 | 85.6¢ | $663 | — |
| rpontici0x34af…bd55 | No | 675 | 87.6¢ | $618 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| xcaiox0x7478…4003 | No | 440 | 86.7¢ | $402 | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 278 bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | 2,945 | 11.5¢ | $250 | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.