Market · 4 of 14 outcomes
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | No | 659 | 89.4¢ | $613 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 430 | 84.4¢ | $400 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Lapinot0xa834…71ae |
| No |
| 369 |
| 81.8¢ |
| $343 |
| — |
| code.up0x2e2f…6884 | No | 210 | 88.4¢ | $196 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 230 bets |
| alternate010x5c4c…8131 | No | 150 | 87.0¢ | $139 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 126 bets |
| Cryonic0xf0f6…3836 | No | 114 | 88.4¢ | $106 | — |
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
2 more outcomes in this event.