Market · 8 of 14 outcomes
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
2 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 841 | 93.3¢ | $803 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| 0x7a28z10x1c79…c259 | No | 200 | 91.3¢ | $191 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | No | 101 | 95.2¢ | $96 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 60 | 94.2¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 50 | 93.3¢ | $48 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 47 | 96.2¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play