Market · 8 of 14 outcomes
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 841 | 93.3¢ | $803 | Proven+$10.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| 0x7a28z10x1c79…c259 | No | 200 | 91.3¢ | $191 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | No | 101 | 95.2¢ | $96 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 60 | 94.2¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 50 | 93.3¢ | $48 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 47 | 96.2¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,995 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 346 | 7.3¢ | $16 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | Yes | 250 | 6.8¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 164 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| qcp110x2184…00df | No | 6 | 94.2¢ | $6 | Proven+$24.90 per $100 · 369 bets |
| Wordsmith0x3659…0451 | Yes | 100 | 8.6¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 95 | 5.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 69 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 63 | 8.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 4,816 bets |
| mrmuller0x975d…01be | Yes | 60 | 5.2¢ | $3 | — |
| protonboy0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | 50 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1f09…1f55 | No | 2 | 94.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 40 | 7.8¢ | $2 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 20 | 8.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sybaujustbet0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | 20 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MakeItRainAgain0x113d…abab | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.32 per $100 · 288 bets |
| 2475250x7138…8c89 | Yes | 10 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 19,510 bets |
| oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e00xb2a3…79e0 | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 4 | 10.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.