Market · 10 of 14 outcomes
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 1,469 | 93.3¢ | $1.43K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| southfly0x773c…cc98 | No | 40 | 93.3¢ | $39 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 899 | 3.1¢ | $23 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 14 | 97.3¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 329 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 380 | 3.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 0xbcba…223f | No | 6 | 92.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | Yes | 172 | 8.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,862+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 15 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 10 | 8.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.44 per $100 · 6,528 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luisotavio03120xcc36…d35d | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play