Market · 7 of 14 outcomes
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 651 | 89.4¢ | $622 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,154 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 194 | 93.3¢ | $185 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| Xeny0x7b75…3fd1 | No | 183 | 94.2¢ | $175 | Proven+$3.11 per $100 · 2,681 bets |
| brad201660xc9c9…07eb | No | 100 | 88.4¢ | $96 | — |
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 80 | 87.0¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 670 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 40 | 89.5¢ | $38 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 497 | 10.2¢ | $22 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Ogre-Magi0x99f0…649f | No | 20 | 91.0¢ | $19 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 20 | 91.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| mrmuller0x975d…01be | Yes | 153 | 7.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 1BTCis1BTC0xc759…b965 | Yes | 115 | 7.7¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 102 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | 100 | 7.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.16 per $100 · 359 bets |
| protonboy0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | 97 | 6.9¢ | $4 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 80 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0xf685…1ddc | No | 3 | 92.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 44 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0xd823…12fe | No | 2 | 86.0¢ | $2 | — |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 40 | 6.5¢ | $2 | — |
| qcp110x2184…00df | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$24.91 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 53asdad0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | 24 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| grungeee0xa6b3…c1ea | No | 1 | 88.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 20 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 17 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc6d7…4399 | Yes | 5 | 9.3¢ | $0 | — |
| oxb2a309A61ca9eD5DB26e9FDDa3a19fF4aE3a79e00xb2a3…79e0 | No | 0 | 92.3¢ | $0 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 0 | 86.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
#1 AI Model Company · End of December 2026 · 2 events · $39.2K in play