Market · 1 of 14 outcomes
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 545 | 36.5¢ | $229 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,565+ bets · updating |
| seasonrsic0xb0fe…6e39 | Yes | 270 | 58.7¢ | $157 | — |
| bmtr0x7d1b…e75c | Yes | 184 | 58.5¢ | $107 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 138 | 42.0¢ | $58 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| devvopnb0x7585…7be2 | Yes | 99 | 53.1¢ | $57 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 40 | 65.5¢ | $23 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 38 | 53.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No | 41 | 55.8¢ | $17 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| 0x7c38…00f7 | Yes | 25 | 32.5¢ | $14 | — |
| luckart0x110c…0516 | Yes | 20 | 59.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Hannah-Montana0x521b…db60 | Yes | 20 | 46.0¢ | $12 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 20 | 61.0¢ | $12 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 19 | 72.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x466a…b89b | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $8 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 10 | 61.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 1 | 12.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$15.49 per $100 · 4,509 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | No | 1 | 42.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 103 events · $6.08M in play