Market · 39 of 54 outcomes
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 250 | 99.2¢ | $250 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| steiner0x2dd1…7af0 | Yes | 311,999 | 0.3¢ | $156 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 294,816 | 0.5¢ | $147 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| iingram0xde80…f53a | No | 136 | 99.9¢ | $136 | — |
| kjsdavv0xef83…96ec | Yes | 262,538 | 0.7¢ | $131 | — |
| gd77huy0x5439…2ffc | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.77K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.