Market · 39 of 54 outcomes
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 250 | 99.2¢ | $250 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| steiner0x2dd1…7af0 | Yes | 311,999 | 0.3¢ | $156 | New46 settled bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 294,816 | 0.5¢ | $147 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| iingram0xde80…f53a | No | 136 | 99.9¢ | $136 | — |
| kjsdavv0xef83…96ec | Yes | 262,538 | 0.7¢ | $131 | — |
| gd77huy0x5439…2ffc | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| Beyond200x82a4…c29c | No | 100 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| KGAG0x35f9…e09d | Yes | 150,000 | 0.1¢ | $75 | Losing−$27.60 per $100 · 281 bets |
| LAROW0xc474…6061 | Yes | 144,179 | 0.6¢ | $72 | New78 settled bets |
| cunninghamheather0x4829…b28d | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| Lokar120x1797…af76 | No | 64 | 99.3¢ | $64 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 112,000 | 0.6¢ | $56 | New22 settled bets |
| alihanyer0x1615…8f2b | Yes | 108,010 | 0.7¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,132 bets |
| kongzhong0x16e8…1434 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| hongxiajie0xe6b7…7864 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| keasiyo0xee67…ef38 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.7¢ | $50 | Proven+$11.82 per $100 · 292 bets |
| yinyuer0x8e8c…d520 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| bfdc0x437c…5b99 | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | $40 | — |
| mocahmeimei0x3ccd…39fa | No | 38 | 99.4¢ | $38 | — |
| 16870xd05e…8902 | No | 36 | 99.3¢ | $36 | — |
| y-mm0x2ea3…6d4e | Yes | 70,812 | 0.4¢ | $35 | New26 settled bets |
| kiki6660x2272…7525 | No | 35 | 99.4¢ | $35 | New34 settled bets |
| tangge0x2b2e…d2ab | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| xiaohusao0x42aa…773f | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 70,000 | 0.8¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 70,000 | 0.5¢ | $35 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| chillhop0x9e48…1a74 | No | 35 | 99.3¢ | $35 | — |
| lfgss0x9038…f712 | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| keqpool0x9999…1f1f | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 61,210 | 0.4¢ | $31 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| rggdfg0xa488…b318 | No | 30 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| avocadoaaa0x9c94…1143 | No | 27 | 99.2¢ | $27 | — |
| PrimaveraKonradl0xfb36…1c16 | No | 26 | 99.4¢ | $26 | — |
| PeachesA0xc1e3…8120 | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 76360x0b7d…14c5 | No | 24 | 99.7¢ | $24 | — |
| 566f0x359c…fade | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xc20e…d9b3 | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | — |
| rollinonlily0xf813…d201 | No | 23 | 99.3¢ | $23 | — |
| printmmoney0xa324…bc0a | No | 22 | 99.2¢ | $22 | — |
| 3375280x9042…c5be | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 40,291 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| hgr470x3bb8…6b98 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| dddg0xe5cd…5ba6 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xb391…0bc7 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| bigbangdabaozha0xb6c7…4334 | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| efcbbe0x1b2f…375a | No | 19 | 99.3¢ | $19 | — |
| MamieNorton0x8f5d…f863 | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| ennyson0xd61a…9cae | No | 19 | 99.4¢ | $19 | — |
| ElenaWaylon0x5060…4c6f | No | 18 | 99.2¢ | $18 | — |
| nicepro0x1185…3a8e | No | 16 | 99.2¢ | $16 | — |
| supermaaria0x05c9…db10 | No | 16 | 99.3¢ | $16 | — |
| Duixianggg0x81fb…1450 | No | 16 | 99.1¢ | $16 | — |
| rouhe0xe1f2…e73b | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| jyttrgf0xc063…62a1 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 360 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| Blackwaterddd0xe09e…deb3 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | New37 settled bets |
| rosedoggie0xb792…2a43 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| miyavr0x0760…8e34 | No | 15 | 99.4¢ | $15 | — |
| 429c5b0x5bee…8616 | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| hy540x632f…a9cf | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| littlegui0xf7fe…8101 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| LFG240xd586…08e9 | Yes | 23,967 | 0.8¢ | $12 | Losing−$16.15 per $100 · 117 bets |
| sdgsdg170x2989…87cf | No | 12 | 99.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 7af90x0325…3dec | Yes | 23,039 | 0.9¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 21,566 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| fd530x1e34…2151 | Yes | 18,502 | 0.9¢ | $9 | — |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 17,857 | 0.5¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| 888hy6j0x9fc9…cf4c | Yes | 17,700 | 0.5¢ | $9 | — |
| 53a30x7ce9…bca9 | Yes | 15,889 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 106c0xb320…d978 | Yes | 15,525 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 15,435 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,296 bets |
| 33530x0ba5…8886 | Yes | 15,258 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x2513…cb75 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | — |
| 10070x7193…5380 | Yes | 14,846 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0xaf53…f8cd | Yes | 14,416 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 42eaa0x8182…36fc | Yes | 14,383 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| d9e30x0ebb…6a4e | Yes | 14,321 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| TruthseekerR0xfd46…4c7d | Yes | 14,286 | 0.7¢ | $7 | — |
| aefc0xe6df…2816 | Yes | 13,869 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 1daa0x079e…e18a | Yes | 13,621 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| e1c10xa14f…8a51 | Yes | 12,946 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 19de0x8c55…bd46 | Yes | 12,898 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| cc930x19fa…ecce | Yes | 12,340 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 41890xe8e3…4672 | Yes | 11,974 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 993b0x7221…9839 | Yes | 11,932 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| f23f0xc019…1138 | Yes | 11,816 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| d4080x1e74…bb83 | Yes | 11,671 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 56140xf6d1…15bb | Yes | 11,666 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Wan2340x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Losing−$10.16 per $100 · 179 bets |
| jason0090xb150…41af | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Yelowyolo0x8a81…58b0 | Yes | 9,999 | 0.5¢ | $5 | Proven+$8.81 per $100 · 488 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 4.77K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.