Market · 36 of 54 outcomes
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | Yes | 550,274 | 0.3¢ | $275 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| ceeert0x83f1…8871 | No | 235 | 99.4¢ | $235 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 228 | 99.2¢ | $228 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| fhgjjjjjj0x266c…905e | No | 203 | 99.4¢ | $202 | — |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | Yes | 257,970 | 1.0¢ | $129 | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| QYPEEhsl0x83dc…eaeb | No | 123 | 99.4¢ | $123 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 61 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.