Market · 36 of 54 outcomes
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $63.9M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| baojuhua0x7bc7…3976 | Yes | 550,274 | 0.3¢ | $275 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 108 bets |
| ceeert0x83f1…8871 | No | 235 | 99.4¢ | $235 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 228 | 99.2¢ | $228 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| fhgjjjjjj0x266c…905e | No | 203 | 99.4¢ | $202 | — |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | Yes | 257,970 | 1.0¢ | $129 | Losing−$2.13 per $100 · 270 bets |
| QYPEEhsl0x83dc…eaeb | No | 123 | 99.4¢ | $123 | — |
| cSZNKB0x517d…5e87 | No | 121 | 99.4¢ | $121 | — |
| nhxoaJ0x0d47…2ed8 | No | 118 | 99.4¢ | $118 | — |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | Yes | 231,657 | 1.3¢ | $116 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| jRltGR0x6d90…bd7d | No | 108 | 99.4¢ | $108 | — |
| 305s0x129a…c44a | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $101 | Proven+$74.21 per $100 · 551 bets |
| turo210x1e50…6f92 | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $101 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 200,520 | 0.5¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| noyescan0x8ce8…ef09 | No | 83 | 99.0¢ | $83 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 161,641 | 0.6¢ | $81 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| TRYHFG0xa04a…1266 | No | 78 | 99.4¢ | $78 | — |
| eurozryb0xd909…af7a | No | 76 | 99.2¢ | $76 | — |
| pixelRider0xf018…ff57 | No | 76 | 99.2¢ | $76 | — |
| badef340xcba4…3485 | No | 76 | 99.3¢ | $75 | — |
| liruihao0x35dc…b9ef | Yes | 142,857 | 0.7¢ | $71 | New12 settled bets |
| celes60xb003…d30c | No | 70 | 99.0¢ | $70 | — |
| Wan2340x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | 135,159 | 0.5¢ | $68 | Losing−$10.16 per $100 · 179 bets |
| finleycaroline0xa40a…a7e7 | No | 67 | 99.9¢ | $67 | — |
| eccayueyue0x74ef…1667 | No | 66 | 99.1¢ | $66 | — |
| dekomat2i0x9d77…3a61 | No | 66 | 99.2¢ | $65 | — |
| poolajeff20xfd78…01ee | No | 66 | 99.2¢ | $65 | — |
| hrut0xe507…cce6 | No | 62 | 99.3¢ | $62 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 121,613 | 0.3¢ | $61 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Labotega0xaef1…5e2a | No | 61 | 99.1¢ | $61 | — |
| targooon0x1e03…675f | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| xuxun180x6fc6…0bd6 | No | 55 | 99.3¢ | $55 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 109,674 | 0.2¢ | $55 | Positive+$12.21 per $100 · 3,929 bets |
| lorireynolds0x5e45…29af | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| Oetsu0x1ab3…d784 | No | 49 | 99.5¢ | $49 | — |
| SaraAscari0xe9f6…4fa0 | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $40 | — |
| AdeleMorselli0x9213…0db7 | No | 37 | 98.8¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 70,853 | 0.9¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| ratkoo0x82df…680f | No | 35 | 99.1¢ | $35 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 69,023 | 0.8¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| BiancaBergamini0x429a…507a | No | 31 | 98.8¢ | $31 | New24 settled bets |
| KathleenHerman0x50f2…1daf | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | $30 | — |
| MiriamMontanari0x4c3f…b227 | No | 30 | 98.8¢ | $30 | New26 settled bets |
| RebeccaLugli0x5659…67a1 | No | 30 | 98.8¢ | $30 | New24 settled bets |
| Elizab-2740x946c…e483 | No | 28 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| Pilk4410x9d3d…70cc | No | 28 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 50,128 | 0.5¢ | $25 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 50,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | New68 settled bets |
| playergost0x7637…b6ab | No | 25 | 99.1¢ | $25 | — |
| 247yeah0x15de…2db3 | No | 22 | 99.4¢ | $22 | — |
| htss0x81e0…6762 | No | 21 | 98.9¢ | $21 | — |
| 460d1c0xa81b…9c97 | No | 21 | 99.2¢ | $21 | — |
| 0x54a3…66a2 | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| MatildeMantovani0x88c0…b88a | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| VittoriaBellei0x8f31…9715 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| RebeccaRossi0x9307…834c | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| RebeccaCuoghi0xa626…7a39 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| MargheritaMalagoli0xfd48…e4c6 | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| GustaveMoses0xb0ec…2c9b | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| fdtt0xa4f1…ca91 | No | 19 | 99.1¢ | $19 | — |
| AntonioSailsbury0xdfef…df73 | No | 19 | 98.6¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xcdaf…2ebf | No | 19 | 99.0¢ | $19 | — |
| yyuu0xa8da…80fe | No | 18 | 99.1¢ | $18 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| VBFDGYH0x2c2d…85c2 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.5¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| kgvikgv0xb246…0eda | Yes | 22,570 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| cyberdrift0xdc8d…9971 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 18,181 | 0.6¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| K0l0mb00x49a6…7049 | Yes | 14,285 | 0.4¢ | $7 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| Frezhboiimatt0x767a…6e8c | Yes | 12,500 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x59d7…e0bb | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 11,479 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| anothernonamedude0x63e1…bdfb | Yes | 11,000 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| swimgod0xd530…c641 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| six-one0xa98d…dff6 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| koolaidbob0x5c16…0272 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 8,571 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0xK97fY12hgH688VbGC7850x497c…d54e | Yes | 8,000 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 599 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 7,665 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,553 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 6,750 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| 0xf702…5814 | Yes | 6,700 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 6,605 | 0.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 6,020 | 0.5¢ | $3 | New41 settled bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 5,369 | 1.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 5,113 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| SMJKC0x1e1b…d14b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | New13 settled bets |
| 0x7778…0b2f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| teru0xb045…9c46 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Agyle0xcb30…1485 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AntonDor0xfd82…342b | Yes | 5,000 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 4,800 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x519f…b6b6 | Yes | 4,520 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 61 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.