Market · 28 of 54 outcomes
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 2,435 | 97.9¢ | $2.43K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 573,381 | 0.1¢ | $860 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| bananajamsamin0xe9ce…6c2c | No | 800 | 99.9¢ | $799 | New26 settled bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | Yes | 410,304 | 0.9¢ | $615 | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 289,629 | 0.3¢ | $434 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | Yes | 270,171 | 1.2¢ | $405 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.79K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.