Market · 28 of 54 outcomes
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rdba0xc4d1…8ce8 | No | 2,435 | 97.9¢ | $2.43K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 302 bets |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 573,358 | 0.1¢ | $860 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| bananajamsamin0xe9ce…6c2c | No | 800 | 99.9¢ | $799 | New26 settled bets |
| LuckyChole0x8bbe…b9dc | Yes | 410,304 | 0.9¢ | $615 | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 269 bets |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 289,629 | 0.3¢ | $434 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| Redpacket0x2ba0…6bc1 | Yes | 270,171 | 1.2¢ | $405 | Losing−$19.65 per $100 · 157 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 250,000 | 0.4¢ | $375 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 279 | 99.2¢ | $278 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Ryan300000x3e3a…e4f3 | No | 198 | 99.3¢ | $197 | New50 settled bets |
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 129,957 | 0.8¢ | $195 | New15 settled bets |
| tsihkodiives0x6db9…4ab5 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.3¢ | $150 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 1,083 bets |
| lifeng0x8c6c…0a58 | No | 140 | 99.3¢ | $140 | New24 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 90,259 | 0.3¢ | $135 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| janhufdk23550x8ffb…4b18 | No | 131 | 99.2¢ | $131 | New75 settled bets |
| uskkk0x5948…e8fa | No | 129 | 99.3¢ | $129 | — |
| zhegngff0xc274…3b67 | No | 112 | 99.0¢ | $112 | — |
| zzhongcheng0xdf96…0d32 | No | 108 | 99.4¢ | $108 | — |
| sharibeasley0x1c68…fa8a | No | 107 | 99.9¢ | $107 | — |
| caroline060x66df…b629 | No | 99 | 99.4¢ | $99 | — |
| kaiservanessa0x9b73…0edb | No | 92 | 99.9¢ | $92 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 59,907 | 0.8¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| holly490x841e…6054 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| christian930xc956…5aa6 | No | 86 | 99.9¢ | $86 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 55,000 | 0.8¢ | $83 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 6,744 bets |
| Markan-TopV10xe5cb…762d | Yes | 55,000 | 0.2¢ | $83 | — |
| darren170xa938…5883 | No | 82 | 99.9¢ | $82 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 51,000 | 0.4¢ | $77 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| tanyarobinson0x5e37…036d | No | 75 | 99.9¢ | $75 | — |
| eriggs0xfa90…9e23 | No | 73 | 99.8¢ | $73 | — |
| nataliesimmons0xea82…4968 | No | 71 | 99.9¢ | $71 | — |
| banksyvonne0x0853…0cf1 | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| marcgregory0x4995…f70b | No | 70 | 99.9¢ | $70 | — |
| 0x8d58…ef00 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| campbelljack0xb6c2…ffc7 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| dodsonjulie0xdc4d…bf17 | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | $60 | — |
| lanceallen0x8d07…d3d3 | No | 57 | 99.9¢ | $57 | — |
| d7e0c40x8170…24ba | No | 50 | 99.3¢ | $49 | — |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 28,566 | 0.8¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| btccuuu0xea28…e5c8 | No | 42 | 99.9¢ | $42 | — |
| jutftuyd0x26e6…23a0 | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | — |
| justinschultz0xbe91…4ddc | No | 40 | 99.9¢ | $40 | — |
| fe750xa678…357f | No | 38 | 99.3¢ | $38 | — |
| colemegan0xb214…bb2a | No | 38 | 99.9¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xd88f…3b4e | Yes | 25,000 | 0.2¢ | $38 | — |
| putuoshan0xd6d9…0ca5 | No | 36 | 99.2¢ | $36 | — |
| fatsheeps0x7414…2246 | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| quqiu0x8c7b…1d87 | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| jimmychu0xe3e5…e60f | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| happyworking0xe9c0…3d9a | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| pingshia0xc3e3…e676 | No | 32 | 99.9¢ | $32 | — |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $31 | New41 settled bets |
| Kameeru10x559c…8bed | Yes | 20,000 | 0.8¢ | $30 | — |
| MiriamMontanari0x4c3f…b227 | No | 30 | 98.9¢ | $30 | — |
| tongsuo0xd4cb…4577 | No | 25 | 99.0¢ | $25 | — |
| higherbb0x430d…b871 | No | 24 | 99.3¢ | $24 | — |
| Touyanzhilinag0x0f49…c7bf | No | 22 | 99.2¢ | $22 | — |
| mmusk-0510x94da…83ee | No | 22 | 99.3¢ | $22 | — |
| yaboyabo0x9c80…25f2 | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| fronk0x40c4…adbe | Yes | 13,333 | 0.8¢ | $20 | — |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 4320xbcd4…50fa | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| diablebleu0xc3e0…4eb7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.8¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 9,880 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 7,700 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 7,000 | 0.6¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 6,620 | 0.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| zorpa0xa06f…6752 | Yes | 6,491 | 1.3¢ | $10 | — |
| TheElectronicHouseofCitizens0x48b7…63f1 | Yes | 5,039 | 0.9¢ | $8 | — |
| LLouhis0x510d…d839 | Yes | 5,029 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xcd5e…a09c | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $8 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 4,164 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 3,878 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 3,844 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| semipol0xaef5…5ee2 | Yes | 3,840 | 0.9¢ | $6 | New62 settled bets |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,182 bets |
| 0xb7de…b802 | Yes | 3,587 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,190 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 3,153 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,147 bets |
| cryptobeezus0x6a66…2c23 | Yes | 3,125 | 0.8¢ | $5 | — |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | Yes | 3,000 | 1.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,585 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0x620a…4a63 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| davismccoy0xaa18…aca5 | Yes | 2,211 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| OnGodNoCap0x1cca…a1c3 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.3¢ | $3 | — |
| Pppppppppppppppp0x0fdd…f99f | Yes | 1,749 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| smallnewt0x3c57…3cb3 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
8 accounts bet both sides equally · 2.79K shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.