Market · 32 of 54 outcomes
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oneAce0x6727…5b6d | Yes | 1,096,135 | 0.2¢ | $1.64K | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 230,557 | 0.6¢ | $346 | Proven+$12.99 per $100 · 623 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $303 | New22 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 157,484 | 0.2¢ | $236 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 142,999 | 0.7¢ | $214 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| wrightrick0x1eac…8587 | No | 197 | 99.9¢ | $197 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 56 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.