Market · 32 of 54 outcomes
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oneAce0x6727…5b6d | Yes | 1,096,135 | 0.2¢ | $1.64K | — |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 230,558 | 0.6¢ | $346 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $303 | New22 settled bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 157,684 | 0.2¢ | $237 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 142,999 | 0.7¢ | $214 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| wrightrick0x1eac…8587 | No | 197 | 99.9¢ | $197 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 124,087 | 0.1¢ | $186 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 104,000 | 0.4¢ | $156 | New85 settled bets |
| 0x9af1…d0ac | No | 124 | 99.9¢ | $124 | — |
| 0xb81d…7c83 | No | 120 | 99.9¢ | $120 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 79,500 | 0.8¢ | $119 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,359 bets |
| lopezkelly0x48de…f6cf | No | 108 | 99.9¢ | $108 | — |
| glennphillip0xcfe7…5bad | No | 107 | 99.9¢ | $107 | — |
| daykristin0xc128…f04c | No | 98 | 99.9¢ | $98 | — |
| keithnicholas0x3472…cc1b | No | 91 | 99.9¢ | $91 | — |
| billy400x96e5…6591 | No | 90 | 99.9¢ | $90 | — |
| kennedysherri0xd724…c4fc | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| kimmegan0xea63…4c82 | No | 89 | 99.9¢ | $89 | — |
| allenkrista0x4677…2e5f | No | 88 | 99.9¢ | $88 | — |
| moralesedwin0x0569…6e55 | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| velezshelby0x2dbd…2edd | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| ikemp0x81b6…0905 | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| morganbray0xea35…a6cb | No | 84 | 99.9¢ | $84 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,500 | 0.4¢ | $79 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| wardlisa0x49b4…a5ed | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| yurobert0x8f38…bde6 | No | 76 | 99.9¢ | $76 | — |
| kwaller0x0f40…0a61 | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | — |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x4f54…943c | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $43 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| Blind Chicken0x542a…a81b | Yes | 23,813 | 0.1¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 22,518 | 0.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $31 | New41 settled bets |
| Bulan0xb220…b07c | Yes | 19,990 | 0.7¢ | $30 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 18,953 | 0.8¢ | $28 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.7¢ | $23 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,550 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $20 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| delusional010xc1cd…d1ad | Yes | 12,500 | 0.1¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 9,880 | 0.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22 | Yes | 8,700 | 0.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 4,815 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 8,011 | 0.6¢ | $12 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 7,909 | 0.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| Heather30540x08b9…14d3 | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 7,050 | 0.0¢ | $11 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $9 | New65 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 5,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Retired-Davis0x8365…e9a6 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 349 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,613 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 1sk0x06e8…4675 | Yes | 4,226 | 0.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.74 per $100 · 979 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,027 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| JuliusNakamoto0xdf5e…4168 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.4¢ | $6 | — |
| uuuwuuu0x34ee…b642 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 3,696 | 0.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 3,568 | 0.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| csfortheg0x4b7a…4817 | Yes | 3,552 | 0.0¢ | $5 | — |
| bavfws0xeed3…0da5 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| y-mm0x2ea3…6d4e | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | New26 settled bets |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| HOG9930xcbba…dbff | Yes | 2,866 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.35 per $100 · 1,760 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,686 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,309 bets |
| Calibrator0x14bb…882b | Yes | 2,506 | 0.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | New68 settled bets |
| Cookedtan0xb48b…648e | Yes | 2,307 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 5,309 bets |
| LucilleHogan2260xa785…c34f | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Aaron53790x07be…72fb | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Daniel15310x59e6…5743 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Zachary73450x2e22…1248 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| hilomilo0xdde7…f648 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| fofil0x8343…6cb2 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| zagovor0xdb07…9a93 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| gruzzik0x6f2f…fead | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| lokhidd0x03c5…0dd3 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| gplde0x8503…a461 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Armyof0xbf70…69f0 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Abigail4680x28c4…adfb | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| fdvoi40xa1e4…5fad | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 13,936 bets |
| istianjennings0x831e…1873 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 56 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.