Market · 35 of 54 outcomes
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 3,000 | 99.4¢ | $3K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| udell0xdc4d…5be2 | No | 410 | 99.4¢ | $410 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 555,955 | 0.3¢ | $278 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| moinet0x66e4…3b3f | Yes | 269,400 | 0.8¢ | $135 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 238,294 | 0.4¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| GoeSVjCm0x601e…de4a | No | 113 | 99.4¢ | $113 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 241 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.