Market · 35 of 54 outcomes
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | No | 3,000 | 99.4¢ | $3K | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| udell0xdc4d…5be2 | No | 410 | 99.4¢ | $410 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 554,955 | 0.3¢ | $277 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| moinet0x66e4…3b3f | Yes | 269,400 | 0.8¢ | $135 | — |
| KKchallenge0xfe03…f14f | Yes | 238,294 | 0.4¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.56 per $100 · 560 bets |
| GoeSVjCm0x601e…de4a | No | 113 | 99.4¢ | $113 | — |
| RhWtPDBT0x314c…6ef6 | No | 110 | 99.4¢ | $110 | — |
| olacd0x3451…7b84 | No | 86 | 99.3¢ | $86 | — |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 150,000 | 0.4¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| cathymathis0x3cb3…fc38 | No | 72 | 99.9¢ | $72 | — |
| biods150x6739…4367 | No | 70 | 99.4¢ | $70 | — |
| venoosix0xb165…fcd2 | No | 58 | 99.4¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 112,000 | 0.6¢ | $56 | New22 settled bets |
| dxjfff0xab86…8a4a | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| frasherraymon0x29f9…cde3 | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| VictorIdellee0x935c…1732 | No | 51 | 99.5¢ | $51 | — |
| getgity0x7fa9…3f17 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| bingbingli0x2da1…551a | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| huangyuanjie0x371d…2120 | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| dancermonkey0x3984…aebd | No | 50 | 99.5¢ | $50 | — |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 95,000 | 0.8¢ | $48 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| 2a433980x5c65…392d | No | 47 | 99.4¢ | $47 | — |
| 361ec20xd226…8cfd | No | 45 | 99.4¢ | $45 | — |
| b81d00x1a8b…e407 | No | 41 | 99.4¢ | $41 | — |
| missing0x87e6…c4a9 | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| ipowers0x7add…9775 | No | 39 | 99.9¢ | $39 | — |
| kiki660x06a8…a6cc | No | 38 | 99.5¢ | $38 | — |
| e1ebfc0x51a9…f121 | No | 37 | 99.4¢ | $37 | New77 settled bets |
| benzege0x2406…c4e0 | No | 36 | 99.5¢ | $36 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 71,063 | 0.3¢ | $36 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,932 bets |
| 0x940b…0934 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| ganyan0xadc5…b728 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| ersheng0xdc95…cfe1 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| FLTman0x956f…f960 | No | 35 | 99.6¢ | $35 | — |
| gfhrt0x5626…0fe6 | No | 35 | 99.6¢ | $35 | — |
| f8390x3b02…0e7a | No | 32 | 99.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 164c3f0xde73…3203 | No | 32 | 99.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 0x6ddb…6918 | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| nzpuc5680x03bb…5267 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| billyge0x1659…d565 | No | 30 | 99.3¢ | $30 | — |
| ricker880x573b…d169 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x325e…9d89 | No | 30 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| talkkshow0x3e3a…d379 | No | 30 | 99.4¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 268 bets |
| 1545550x7572…3716 | No | 29 | 99.1¢ | $29 | — |
| tgygg0x5f9a…7756 | No | 28 | 99.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 5434530xf37c…436b | No | 27 | 99.1¢ | $27 | — |
| hoiiew0x7dee…d057 | No | 27 | 99.1¢ | $27 | — |
| 6548510xd694…120f | No | 26 | 99.2¢ | $26 | — |
| tiger5550xd600…b66e | Yes | 50,705 | 0.5¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 495 bets |
| gautynrt0x01d7…9de5 | No | 25 | 99.3¢ | $25 | New24 settled bets |
| LiquidityMagnet0x12b4…a1be | Yes | 50,232 | 0.2¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x0350…2cf7 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.2¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 50,000 | 0.1¢ | $25 | New68 settled bets |
| 0xe14a…59c9 | Yes | 48,000 | 0.1¢ | $24 | — |
| 7D23b0xd4a2…8bc1 | No | 23 | 99.4¢ | $23 | — |
| coolben0x145e…2d67 | No | 22 | 99.4¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 281 bets |
| 0x7e23…cfd1 | Yes | 42,000 | 0.1¢ | $21 | New0 settled bets |
| db068b37c0x64c3…9413 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| TorrentNell0x4ebe…ee8e | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | — |
| 156451110x6111…f49f | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xf6cb…73e2 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.5¢ | $20 | — |
| IsabelRighi0x5553…b28a | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | New28 settled bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| tiger55100x3f2d…2adc | Yes | 28,567 | 0.4¢ | $14 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 184 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 26,510 | 1.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 22,800 | 0.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$136.59 per $100 · 601 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 22,500 | 0.4¢ | $11 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| daojones0xcd29…fd24 | Yes | 21,429 | 0.7¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 387 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| XC4CVBV0x5276…0f3f | Yes | 20,209 | 0.6¢ | $10 | — |
| C3V4BF30x4a6e…10fb | Yes | 20,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | — |
| VBBFED340xa585…4b94 | Yes | 18,500 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xeb73…df6a | Yes | 16,667 | 0.6¢ | $8 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 16,010 | 0.5¢ | $8 | New41 settled bets |
| 5546560x4690…f194 | Yes | 15,000 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x16cb…2704 | Yes | 14,000 | 0.8¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 7,120 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 12,222 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xa5b0…525f | Yes | 9,691 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 9,271 | 0.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| plumhazer50x4128…8572 | Yes | 8,973 | 0.6¢ | $4 | New25 settled bets |
| ggt5cv0xf797…9730 | Yes | 8,670 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 63fgd50x801b…6774 | Yes | 8,370 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 43D5DDVG0x9302…2749 | Yes | 8,202 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 5dd550x9c19…3d4c | Yes | 8,200 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 8,000 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| cxcvbg50xeb6b…f504 | Yes | 7,869 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 56453530x2ba4…c03b | Yes | 7,458 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 6dfd30x6682…606f | Yes | 7,270 | 0.8¢ | $4 | New4 settled bets |
| 456TGR60x0e6d…7c8e | Yes | 7,000 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 954bjhyt0x216e…73b7 | Yes | 6,898 | 0.9¢ | $3 | New11 settled bets |
| 6524223Z0x3c9d…51db | Yes | 6,661 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Fermatter0x0d09…dd55 | Yes | 6,546 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 2,822 bets |
| Zuqiu0x3f84…8d1d | Yes | 6,486 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 6666fg0x05bc…e1e1 | Yes | 6,484 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 584ssz0xe93b…1528 | Yes | 6,152 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $3 | New65 settled bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 241 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.