Market · 18 of 54 outcomes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billybad110x5b1d…a0c1 | Yes | 528,413 | 1.4¢ | $5.02K | — |
| 0x05d5…1b5b | Yes | 407,767 | 2.4¢ | $3.87K | — |
| AF20280x7d56…4950 | Yes | 396,745 | 1.6¢ | $3.77K | — |
| 0x28bd…36f0 | Yes | 250,257 | 1.3¢ | $2.38K | — |
| TangledUpInBlue0xe05f…b3e8 | Yes | 100,000 | 1.1¢ | $950 | — |
| peasant0x1c72…dfb6 | Yes | 98,721 | 1.5¢ | $938 | — |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 136 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.