Market · 18 of 54 outcomes
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 15 events · $62.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billybad110x5b1d…a0c1 | Yes | 528,413 | 1.4¢ | $5.02K | New0 settled bets |
| 0x05d5…1b5b | Yes | 407,767 | 2.4¢ | $3.87K | New1 settled bet |
| AF20280x7d56…4950 | Yes | 396,745 | 1.6¢ | $3.77K | New36 settled bets |
| 0x28bd…36f0 | Yes | 250,257 | 1.3¢ | $2.38K | New55 settled bets |
| TangledUpInBlue0xe05f…b3e8 | Yes | 100,000 | 1.1¢ | $950 | — |
| peasant0x1c72…dfb6 | Yes | 98,721 | 1.5¢ | $938 | Proven+$2.34 per $100 · 346 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 96,571 | 1.0¢ | $917 | New22 settled bets |
| BernardB0x1a83…a9a0 | Yes | 85,549 | 1.1¢ | $813 | New70 settled bets |
| 0x839a…4578 | Yes | 74,620 | 6.6¢ | $709 | New2 settled bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 52,490 | 0.4¢ | $499 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| clanker90000x3c47…39cd | Yes | 38,648 | 1.7¢ | $367 | New1 settled bet |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 33,177 | 0.8¢ | $315 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,750 bets |
| sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $285 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 6,324 bets |
| Mywheypatriots0xd51b…9606 | Yes | 30,000 | 1.1¢ | $285 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 28,701 | 0.7¢ | $273 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 26,814 | 1.7¢ | $255 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Valleyprogu0x1b52…4215 | No | 254 | 98.5¢ | $252 | New25 settled bets |
| RobXK0x60b2…3cce | Yes | 25,000 | 0.7¢ | $238 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| RaymondVan0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | 24,198 | 0.7¢ | $230 | Losing−$4.16 per $100 · 748 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 20,795 | 0.7¢ | $198 | New41 settled bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.8¢ | $190 | New6 settled bets |
| 457654670xbb7e…69b8 | No | 183 | 0.0¢ | $181 | — |
| tj90x08f5…28e0 | Yes | 15,210 | 1.4¢ | $144 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 191 bets |
| sdvshs0x0b31…79a0 | No | 140 | 99.2¢ | $139 | New23 settled bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 14,444 | 0.7¢ | $137 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,280 | 0.7¢ | $136 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ddalkkak0x16bd…e288 | Yes | 13,331 | 0.4¢ | $127 | Positive+$7.19 per $100 · 657 bets |
| xvdfdg0x00b3…af6f | No | 125 | 98.9¢ | $124 | New47 settled bets |
| KnureKnume0xcf6a…f9d0 | Yes | 13,001 | 1.1¢ | $124 | Proven+$5.98 per $100 · 1,078 bets |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.0¢ | $95 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| BlackswanDefi0x28c3…da06 | Yes | 10,000 | 1.8¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.26 per $100 · 176 bets |
| bnzo1vnnc1lv0x8a6e…8fe0 | Yes | 9,091 | 1.1¢ | $86 | — |
| COINNEO0xcae8…ef03 | Yes | 8,659 | 1.1¢ | $82 | — |
| cardsneaks0x6253…2f20 | Yes | 8,600 | 1.3¢ | $82 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x973f…4815 | Yes | 8,114 | 1.3¢ | $77 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 7,500 | 0.9¢ | $71 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| musclemommy0x5c23…8c71 | Yes | 7,436 | 1.0¢ | $71 | New59 settled bets |
| Woody20240xcffc…2a55 | Yes | 7,418 | 1.4¢ | $70 | — |
| Cryptosapien340x4533…77b3 | Yes | 7,139 | 1.4¢ | $68 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xb50a…4fd5 | Yes | 6,592 | 1.2¢ | $63 | — |
| fg48df480x255b…d188 | No | 61 | 99.1¢ | $60 | New39 settled bets |
| Verta0x9a2d…5919 | No | 60 | 99.2¢ | $60 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | Yes | 6,198 | 0.7¢ | $59 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| 0x9163…cd93 | Yes | 6,144 | 1.6¢ | $58 | — |
| DDD19880x9438…ad81 | Yes | 6,089 | 1.1¢ | $58 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.7¢ | $57 | New65 settled bets |
| 0x800b…3bd6 | Yes | 5,556 | 0.0¢ | $53 | New17 settled bets |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 5,500 | 0.6¢ | $52 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 5,400 | 0.8¢ | $51 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| clspxo69820xfd0e…daf9 | No | 51 | 99.1¢ | $50 | — |
| MiaMilk440x1057…638c | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $50 | New21 settled bets |
| TommyGenss0x5781…e19f | Yes | 5,000 | 1.7¢ | $48 | New13 settled bets |
| rightup0x5fc7…4880 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.0¢ | $48 | New32 settled bets |
| TenofTenHaki0x1645…9022 | Yes | 4,545 | 1.1¢ | $43 | New61 settled bets |
| NebulaNomad120x3225…e6c6 | No | 40 | 98.8¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 116 bets |
| karrigantofalcons0xdec9…b8ab | Yes | 4,000 | 2.1¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 3,850 | 0.4¢ | $37 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| Zenobia0xb485…0e38 | No | 36 | 98.2¢ | $35 | — |
| failstober0x90ed…b5bc | Yes | 3,711 | 0.7¢ | $35 | Proven+$8.51 per $100 · 1,184 bets |
| AlfordKoch0xf5f3…c9af | No | 33 | 98.5¢ | $33 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 3,254 | 0.7¢ | $31 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| 0xc7ca…7c8c | No | 22 | 98.8¢ | $22 | — |
| nameyj0xfddd…88ae | No | 22 | 99.1¢ | $22 | — |
| Spom25d0x9fc5…3ac8 | No | 20 | 98.5¢ | $20 | — |
| ElsieElsie0x6b0a…8527 | No | 19 | 98.4¢ | $19 | New10 settled bets |
| landkeeper0xdb25…14e8 | No | 18 | 98.8¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x5c2c…0e47 | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $15 | New27 settled bets |
| 0xe31d…8c19 | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xf187…bc13 | No | 15 | 98.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x4897…1c6e | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $14 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x7f1c…fa4c | No | 15 | 98.8¢ | $14 | New28 settled bets |
| 0x70d9…c23d | No | 14 | 98.8¢ | $14 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x3ba3…a0ef | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | New20 settled bets |
| 0xfbec…2925 | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x25a1…cb57 | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | New23 settled bets |
| 0xfdee…8528 | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xe8e4…6cae | No | 13 | 98.4¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x27af…50f1 | No | 13 | 98.5¢ | $13 | New20 settled bets |
| BNBTony0x4704…5a9d | No | 13 | 98.3¢ | $13 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x1a4e…9310 | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | New25 settled bets |
| 0x5ac5…eb5a | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | New19 settled bets |
| 0x7636…adf0 | No | 13 | 98.5¢ | $13 | New28 settled bets |
| 0x61c9…562d | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $13 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x0ae1…0a65 | No | 13 | 98.8¢ | $12 | New22 settled bets |
| 98o890x1466…6cf7 | No | 12 | 99.1¢ | $12 | New13 settled bets |
| 9cdr0x9bf6…af5a | No | 12 | 98.5¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x8928…fa9d | No | 12 | 98.8¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x3b3d…e425 | No | 12 | 98.4¢ | $12 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x58c5…2d6a | No | 11 | 98.4¢ | $11 | New24 settled bets |
| niuhui0x231c…6d86 | No | 11 | 98.8¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0x7699…f356 | No | 11 | 98.5¢ | $10 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x518f…f4b2 | No | 10 | 98.4¢ | $10 | New22 settled bets |
| 0xc82c…84f8 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x0880…9a67 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x5769…b101 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | New26 settled bets |
| rew210x56a2…fb50 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | New58 settled bets |
| 23s4s0x671a…a5ca | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 245 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 136 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.