Market · 41 of 54 outcomes
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| asdfadfasdf10xfa87…c2a0 | Yes | 500,000 | 0.2¢ | $250 | — |
| Yelowyolo0x8a81…58b0 | Yes | 449,993 | 0.4¢ | $225 | Proven+$8.81 per $100 · 488 bets |
| QJjjnWOC0x06a1…d171 | No | 126 | 99.4¢ | $126 | — |
| nQOsJjZi0xd817…d4de | No | 125 | 99.4¢ | $125 | — |
| IQkMPb0x5125…5b74 | No | 114 | 99.4¢ | $114 | — |
| joeramirez0x6e6a…05ff | No | 111 | 99.6¢ | $111 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 91 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.