Market · 15 of 54 outcomes
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
42 more outcomes in this event.
These 54 outcomes add up to 91.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 54 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 610,049 | 0.6¢ | $8.24K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 236,412 | 0.7¢ | $3.19K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 221,340 | 1.0¢ | $2.99K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| 0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfk0x52c2…0556 | Yes | 202,181 | 0.5¢ | $2.73K | New22 settled bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 166,449 | 0.8¢ | $2.25K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,250 bets |
| MymanIvan0xd47d…322b | Yes | 160,216 | 1.5¢ | $2.16K | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 7.5K shares each side · Show
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