Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 105 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,842 | 4.4¢ | $40 | Losing−$5.34 per $100 · 4,485 bets |
| Brunomars0x6562…508e | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 |
| Yes |
| 446 |
| 2.0¢ |
| $10 |
| Proven+$10.89 per $100 · 903 bets |
| kvinster0xb171…a647 | Yes | 439 | 11.4¢ | $9 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 362 | 2.3¢ | $8 | — |
| alexhstv0x6b3b…cf11 | Yes | 325 | 6.4¢ | $7 | — |
These 9 outcomes add up to 104.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.