Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3621…9da2 | Yes | 1,972 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| grinopro0x128d…9340 | Yes | 992 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 316 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.88 per $100 · 52,957+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 229 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 203 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 186 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 105.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.