Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3621…9da2 | Yes | 1,923 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 3 | 90.2¢ | $3 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,033 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| niggabutt0xef67…2a33 | Yes | 294 | 10.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 104 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 105.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.