Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3621…9da2 | Yes | 1,923 | 0.5¢ | $6 | — |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 3 | 90.2¢ | $3 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 1,033 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 300 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| niggabutt0xef67…2a33 | Yes | 294 | 10.2¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 264 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 217 | 4.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 210 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 187 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 179 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 174 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 145 | 0.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 136 | 3.1¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| JustBot0xe33b…6de8 | Yes | 114 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 106 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 0xcaf6…5c89 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 95 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| berk20x146c…f5fd | Yes | 91 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 90 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 82 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| holymolyly0x94de…0847 | Yes | 70 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcaa8…cf5d | Yes | 61 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 58 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| grinopro0x128d…9340 | Yes | 54 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 50 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 158,921 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 47 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 40 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 37 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x1520x3c17…0458 | Yes | 30 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 30 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 29 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| vamosgaming0x6cff…a463 | Yes | 25 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 23 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xe9b4…f03a | Yes | 23 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 17 | 3.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 15 | 1.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 10 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 7 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0000…dead | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ebashim.0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0xPSFMEK0xb457…9944 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vitalikbt0xd562…6912 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 5 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 1 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.84 per $100 · 8,686 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 105 events · $6.09M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.