Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 9 outcomes add up to 104.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| libratus10x28b2…eb4f | No | 3,356 | 87.5¢ | $2.69K | — |
| 0x848282837738290xe38e…50c8 | Yes | 5,684 | 14.1¢ | $1.14K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 688 |
| 20.1¢ |
| $138 |
| — |
| calm.rabbit0x33db…417a | No | 130 | 75.9¢ | $104 | — |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 448 | 27.2¢ | $90 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 93 | 79.8¢ | $75 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.